Electronic voting machines are wildly insecure

The electronic voting machine industry is one big fraud. Machines are neither secure nor dependable. State election commissions don’t have the expertise (or budget) to understand the technical issues for a market to properly work. Clear, strong, enforceable, and enforced regulation is necessary, but until that happens, we’re stuck in the position where any claim of fraudulent manipulation (at least at the level of state election commissions) needs to be taken seriously. There was the recent bug in machines in Texas which was switching votes. And now security researchers are pointing out that machines since 2016 are less secure than previous ones! From simple research by Brian Varner in Wired (a la Bruce Schneier):

This year, I bought two more machines to see if security had improved. To my dismay, I discovered that the newer model machines—those that were used in the 2016 election—are running Windows CE and have USB ports, along with other components, that make them even easier to exploit than the older ones. Our voting machines, billed as “next generation,” and still in use today, are worse than they were before—dispersed, disorganized, and susceptible to manipulation

RE: Ending birthright citizenship for recent and/or "illegal" immigrants

The idea has frequently been pushed by the most racist politicians in America throughout our history, both to keep the USA more white/European/Western/whatever, and as a political tactic to get people’s votes by inducing panic and fear of outsiders (even though there’s never been a real risk of hostile internal takeover). And it’s been quietly brewing again for the past few years. So it’s no surprise that the White House (which, again, includes a few white supremacists and several other highly racist individuals) would bring it up a week before midterm elections which could determine whether the Republican Party holds onto either chamber of Congress. Trump gets a partial win just by keeping us distracted and fueling the culture war, though the racist operatives in the White House probably are pushing for an Executive Order to undermine the 14th Amendment, no matter that it would be flagrantly unconstitutional. Case law and original intent are definitive about the meaning of the 14th’s clause “subject to the jurisdiction thereof.” It really was meant to be as widely interpretable as it seems, intending to undo the Dred Scott decision and ensure citizenship to the children of slaves—slaves, people who were taken from their own countries and held no intent to settle (nor allegiance toward!) the United States. “Illegal” immigrants are clearly covered, and it would require passing another Amendment to undo that. As James Ho cites in The Federalist (which I highly recommend reading in full, as it addresses a lot of little “but what if…”s):

Senator Edgar Cowan (R-PA) – who would later vote against the entire constitutional amendment anyway – was the first to speak in opposition to extending birthright citizenship to the children of foreigners. Cowan declared that, “if [a state] were overrun by another and a different race, it would have the right to absolutely expel them.” He feared that the Howard amendment would effectively deprive states of the authority to expel persons of different races – in particular, the Gypsies in his home state of Pennsylvania and the Chinese in California – by granting their children citizenship and thereby enabling foreign populations to overrun the country. Cowan objected especially to granting birthright citizenship to the children of aliens who “owe [the U.S.] no allegiance [and] who pretend to owe none,” and to those who regularly commit “trespass” within the U.S.[22]

In response, proponents of the Howard amendment endorsed Cowan’s interpretation. Senator John Conness (R-CA) responded specifically to Cowan’s concerns about extending birthright citizenship to the children of Chinese immigrants:

“The proposition before us … relates simply in that respect to the children begotten of Chinese parents in California, and it is proposed to declare that they shall be citizens. … I am in favor of doing so. … We are entirely ready to accept the provision proposed in this constitutional amendment, that the children born here of Mongolian parents shall be declared by the Constitution of the United States to be entitled to civil rights and to equal protection before the law with others.”

The numbers are in, and Trump's tax cut didn't reduce the deficit – despite his many promises

The “hack gap” (and the right-wing spin machine) at work.

John Harwood, in CNBC:

On the campaign trail, Trump first proposed a $10 trillion tax cut, far larger than any Republican rival's, but insisted it wouldn't boost the federal budget deficit because the economy would "take off like a rocket ship."

…the Treasury reported that the 2018 deficit swelled to $779 billion. That level, the highest in six years, marks a 17 percent increase over 2017.

The hack gap: how and why conservative nonsense dominates American politics

Virtually all mainstream “conservative” arguments in the news these days are hypocritical smoke, but are given constant airtime, even by the centrist/liberal media which you might think shouldn’t bother (and/or would be better served ignoring the constant bad-faith whining).

Matthew Yglesias identifies a few major political/economic effects and causes among the moderate-to-far right political/media operatives that led not only to this, but was a significant cause of the increasing radicalism of the Republican Party, leading to Trump:

The hack gap has two core pillars. One is the constellation of conservative media outlets — led by Fox News and other Rupert Murdoch properties like the Wall Street Journal editorial page, but also including Sinclair Broadcasting in local television, much of AM talk radio, and new media offerings such as Breitbart and the Daily Caller — that simply abjure anything resembling journalism in favor of propaganda. 

The other is that the self-consciousness journalists at legacy outlets have about accusations of liberal bias leads them to bend over backward to allow the leading conservative gripes of the day to dominate the news agenda. Television producers who would never dream of assigning segments where talking heads debate whether it’s bad that the richest country on earth also has millions of children growing up in dire poverty think nothing of chasing random conservative shiny objects, from “Fast & Furious” (remember that one?) to Benghazi to the migrant caravan.

And more than Citizens United or even gerrymandering, it’s a huge constant thumb on the scale in favor of the political right in America.

…there is simply no institution on the left that has anywhere near the institutional clout — to say nothing of the value system — of conservative broadcast media.

 Research from Emory University political scientists Gregory Martin and Josh McCrain found that when Sinclair buys a local station, its local news program begin to cover more national and less local politics, the coverage becomes more conservative, and viewership actually falls — suggesting that the rightward tilt isn’t enacted as a strategy to win more viewers but as part of a persuasion effort. A separate study by Martin and Stanford economist Ali Yurukoglu estimates that watching Fox News translates into a significantly greater willingness to vote for Republican candidates.

Specifically, by exploiting semi-random variation in Fox viewership driven by changes in the assignment of channel numbers, they find that if Fox News hadn’t existed, the Republican presidential candidate’s share of the two-party vote would have been 3.59 points lower in 2004 and 6.34 points lower in 2008. Without Fox, in other words, the GOP’s only popular vote win since the 1980s would have been reversed and the 2008 election would have been an extinction-level landslide. And that’s only measuring the direct impact of the Fox cable network. If you consider the supplemental effect of Sinclair’s local news broadcast, the AM radio shows of Fox personalities like Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham, and the broader constellation of right-wing punditry, the effect would surely be larger.

Democratic Party politicians’ statements about troops and other matters touching on patriotism are hyper-policed by easily triggered conservative snowflakes, whose mass panics easily come to dominate the national political agenda. And it is frustrating for liberals to watch this happen when Republican Party politicians are able to skate by with little scrutiny. 

But here’s the critical thing: Even though plenty of liberals are happy to be mad about the double standard, nobody important in progressive political commentary is actually mad about Trump’s troop visiting schedule. We’re mad that Trump is destroying financial and environmental regulation while trying to screw poor people out of health care and nutrition assistance, all while imprisoning children seeking asylum and undermining the international order. That’s important stuff, while Trump’s golfing — like Clinton’s emails — fundamentally isn’t. 

And yet elections are swung, almost by definition, not by the majority of people who correctly see the scope of the differences and pick a side but by the minority of people for whom the important divisions in US partisan politics aren’t decisive. Consequently, the issues that matter most electorally are the ones that matter least to partisans. Things like email protocol compliance that neither liberals nor conservatives care about even slightly can be a powerful electoral tool because the decisive voters are the ones who don’t care about the epic ideological clash of left and right. 

But journalists take their cues about what’s important from partisan media outlets and partisan social media. 

Thus, the frenzies of partisan attention around “deplorables” and “lock her up” served to focus on controversies that, while not objectively significant. are perhaps particularly resonant to people who don’t have firm ideological convictions. 

Meanwhile, similar policy-neutral issues like Trump’s insecure cellphone, his preposterous claim to be too busy to visit the troops, or even his apparent track record of tax fraud don’t get progressives worked into a lather in the same way. 

This is a natural tactical advantage that, moreover, serves a particular strategic advantage given the Republican Party’s devotion to plutocratic principles on taxation and health insurance that have only a very meager constituency among the mass public.

Trump is a fascist

“Fascist” is overused, and there are a lot of definitions, because the self-identified fascist regimes from last century began so differently, and adopted different characteristics. I’ve never been that satisfied with any definition until reading Umberto Eco’s 1995 article in the New York Review of Books. He lists quite a few general traits of what he calls “Ur-Fascism”, and Trump’s speech—at his rallies, on Twitter, on tv—perfectly aligns with this list. Trump is a fascist. The U.S. isn’t automatically fascist because he’s president, of course, and Trump may not care whether he succeeds at creating a totalitarian ethnostate dependent on him. But we need to stand up to his xenophobia and racism, his dark simplifying of reality and conspiracy-mongering, his narcissistic authoritarianism, and the many ways he’s trying to change the system to benefit him and his cronies. This is our democracy, if we can keep it.

I highly recommend reading the piece, and reflecting on Eco’s list: Ur-Fascism.

Source: https://www.nybooks.com/articles/1995/06/2...

The soft anti-Semitism of Trump's White House

When Trump and others in his administration use the term “globalist,” or talk about unverified, implausible conspiracies on the part of George Soros, a Jew, the Jewish community recognizes this as classic coded anti-Semitism. Whether the White House knows it or not (or even cares), they’re using language that anti-Semites (white supremacists largely included) use to try to hide their anti-Semitism.

The president has a responsibility to watch what he says. That’s not “political correctness”; that’s making sure he’s not emboldening or further radicalizing extremists. By using this kind of language, then crying foul when they’re called out for it, the White House is, at the very least, giving cover to anti-Semitism. But that’s not the half of the potentially anti-Semitic behavior out of this administration following the attack at the Tree of Life synagogue, as Jeet Heer points out on Twitter:

Continued:

2. First we had the ineffable Kellyanne Conway saying that the synagogue massacre was an example of "anti-religiosity" spurred by late-night comedians: https://newrepublic.com/minutes/151935/kellyanne-conway-links-synagogue-massacre-anti-religiosity-late-night-comedians

3. Then Mike Pence invited a Christian "rabbi" to deliver a prayer -- one that didn't name the dead in the Tree of Life synagogue but rather Republican candidates: https://newrepublic.com/minutes/151946/mike-pence-got-rabbi-really-christian-pray-synagogue-dead

4. Jeff Sessions made a comment similar to Kellyanne Conway, that this was an assault on all religions. Again with the effect of removing the synagogue massacre from the category of an anti-Semitic crime to a more generic offense.

5. All of this adds up to a pattern, one seen earlier when Trump White House released statement on Holocaust Remembrance Day that didn't mention Jews.

6. So: let's be clear: the Saturday massacre was the most lethal anti-Semitic massacre ever on American soil. The alleged gunman from all evidence had deeply imbibed anti-Jewish hatred. His goal was a specific one of killing Jews, not generic anti-religiosity.

7. The particular idea that spurred on the killer (Jews as mastermind bringing in non-whites to destroy whites) is not generic anti-religiosity but an anti-Semitic trope with deep roots, a variant of Nazi myth of udeo–Bolshevism.

8. The Pittsburgh massacre can only be understood through the specificity of Jewish history and a very particular type of anti-Semitism. In their public statements, the Trump administration is intent on denying that specificity.

9. A good analogy is how foes of "Black Lives Matter" responded with "All Lives Matter." An adoption of a spurious universalism that is designed to shut down particular voices speaking of particular problems. https://twitter.com/oblivious_dude/status/1057104449292955648

10. So what's going on here? Why this pattern of de-emphasizing the Jewish particulars? The worst case answer is anti-Semitism, either deliberate or unconscious. But there are other possible answers.

11. The most benign possible answer is that this is the common way that Gentiles of all stripes handle anti-Semitic crimes: try to make them more "relatable" and "universal" -- i.e. early version of Diary of Anne Frank which erased some Jewish references.

12. A more specific answer is timing and politics. We're a week out from the mid-terms. Talking about anti-Semitism doesn't help the GOP and could (given stoking of Soros conspiracy theories) hurt them. There voters are evangelicals. Make it about anti-religiosity.

13. I think it's really important for reasons to go beyond partisan politics to resist the erasure the Trump administration is engaged in. That resistance has to also oppose the tendency towards a facile ecumenicalism from some non-Trump people.

14. The proper understanding of the Tree of Life massacre is that it a Jewish event: fuelled by the particular anti-Semitism that scapegoats Jews for social unrest. We should oppose all forms of bigotry but can't fight anti-Semitism unless we name it as such.

A response to Ari Fleischer's bad-faith "rule of law" argument concerning the refugee caravan, and its current and historical use by fascists