ISIS Doesn't Have Much Of An Ability To Strike The Continental US — At Least For Now


But at present, the actual extent of the group's danger to the U.S. homeland is a matter of speculation, and its dangers are dulled somewhat thanks to ISIS's current capabilities and goals, and American counter-terror advances since the September 11th attacks.

The group has connected its legitimacy to its ability to hold onto land, while also provoking every potential rival fighting force on its "Caliphate's" periphery. 

"Once ISIS begins to experience a reversal, things could go badly for it very quickly," says Gartenstein-Ross.